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19. February 2008, 05:55:56

playBunny

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Subject: Re: hit or run ?

alanback: But of course.


Rollout 1296 trials, 2-ply for 12 plies, 0-ply thereafter
# .. Move ......... Equity . (Diff) .... Win ... WinG .. WinBg ---- Lose .. LoseG . LoseBg
1 .. bar/19*/15 ... +0.976 ............ 98.8% .. 66.1% ... 4.2% --- 1.2% ... 0.0% ... 0.0%
2 .. bar/15 ....... +0.954 (-0.022) ... 97.7% .. 43.9% ... 1.1% --- 2.3% ... 0.0% ... 0.0%
Std Err ............ 0.001 ............. 0.1% ... 0.6% ... 0.4% --- 0.1% ... 0.0% ... 0.0%

And if the move is bar/15 followed by 42: 12/10*/6 the chances drop:


Rollout 1296 trials, 2-ply for 12 plies, 0-ply thereafter
# .. Move ......... Equity . (Diff) .... Win ... WinG .. WinBg ---- Lose .. LoseG . LoseBg
1 .. 12/10*/6 ..... -0.930 (-0.046) .... 3.5% .. 0.0% ... 0.0% --- 96.5% .. 27.1% ... 0.2%