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grenv: Even easier and more reliable, since all games all recorded : querying the database for all pair of first roll and second roll in every game since x months. I'd expect the results to be overwhelmingly abnormal.
nabla: But that would be too easy...cheating me of all the fun of capturing these values by hand! :-)
As I mentioned to you in a message, let me now state on the board:
"...based in part on Alan's recent comments, I'm tempted to also capture the actual rolls for aggregate analysis. Based on observed rolls from 1000+ of my games [all of year 2008], we should then have a fairly solid idea whether or not there's a problem with the basic frequency of the dice rolled. It would be good to know whether we should suspect that a fault lies there, or whether we should spend time looking elsewhere."
wetware: analysis of my year 2008 games is still in progress. 313 of ~700 games complete. (My earlier guesstimate of ~1000 games was off the mark.)
So far I see no sign of anything unusual in the individual dice values on the opening roll. (I'll wait for the values from all ~700 games before I look for any pairwise strangeness.)
Here were the individual dice frequencies from the first 313 games:
1 on die = 111 occurrences 2 on die = 102 occurrences 3 on die = 104 occurrences 4 on die = 100 occurrences 5 on die = 116 occurrences 6 on die = 93 occurrences
Early results from 2008 show an excess (approximately 4 times the mean expected frequency) of responder rolls exactly matching opening rolls. I'm still aiming to finish and report tomorrow. Will save my raw observed values as a text file, for anyone who'd like them. File will also include--for each game--the URL of the page showing the opening and responding dice rolled. You'll be able to check my transcription error rate :-)
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