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playBunny: with 50:50 the distribution of the final destination (on an empty board) is roughly a normal distribution (bell shaped); and of course this changes in the course of the game; so I'd guess it is NOT so much luck based as you think it is.
(kaŝi) Se vi bezonas malnovan mesaĝon de elektita uzanto, klaku ties karakteristikon kaj uzu la ligilon "montri mesaĝojn de ĉitiu uzanto" supre en la paĝo. (konec) (Montri ĉiujn konsilojn)