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 Backgammon

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18. Temmuz 2010, 07:06:27
wetware 
Konu: Re:
wetware:  analysis of my year 2008 games is still in progress.  313 of ~700 games complete.  (My earlier guesstimate of ~1000 games was off the mark.)

So far I see no sign of anything unusual in the individual dice values on the opening roll.  (I'll wait for the values from all ~700 games before I look for any pairwise strangeness.)

Here were the individual dice frequencies from the first 313 games:

1 on die = 111 occurrences
2 on die = 102 occurrences
3 on die = 104 occurrences
4 on die = 100 occurrences
5 on die = 116 occurrences
6 on die = 93 occurrences


Early results from 2008 show an excess (approximately 4 times the mean expected frequency) of responder rolls exactly matching opening rolls.  I'm still aiming to finish and report tomorrow.  Will save my raw observed values as a text file, for anyone who'd like them.  File will also include--for each game--the URL of the page showing the opening and responding dice rolled.  You'll be able to check my transcription error rate    :-)

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