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Well, for your first shot (assuming you go first), the odd of guessing a frog is about 5.6%, assuming you won't guess one of the middle 9 squares, as they will be empty. The board is 13x13, making 169 squares; the middle 9 are empty, so 9 frogs will be found on 160 squares, or about 5.6% of the squares.
Running a simulation where both players guess randomly (but won't guess a square that was guessed before; and won't guess one of the middle 9 squares) shows the game is pretty even, and lasts about 144 half-moves.
Aangepast door AbigailII (11. juli 2008, 14:31:01)
Baked Alaskan: Eh, no, I am mistaken. I was thinking the question was about frog legs, not frog finder.
A simulation for frog finder suggests that the second player has a slight advantage, winning about 52% of the games, with games lasting about 153 half moves. Again, the assumption is that no player guesses an already guessed square.
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